cr7 superfly blue

Every ante-post bet comes with a health warning, but none more so than those placed on individuals rather than teams.

If you choose to get stuck into Manchester City to win the title at 5/2 and Sergio Aguero suffers a season-ending injury, your chance of winning decreases but doesn’t disappear, as any bet on the league’s best striker would.

And that’s why Aguero, on balance, can just about be left alone as 7/2 favourite in this season’s Golden Boot market.

Under Pep Guardiola and playing in front of some of the most creative, reliable operators in Europe, the 28-year-old will continue to prove deadly when at his best and a clear run – the like of which he is odds-against to have – would probably see him outscore the rest by some distance.

magistax ic black Last year, he failed by just one to usurp Harry Kane, having been five clear of the same rival in 2014/15. It’s now five seasons in England, one Golden Boot and, for the purposes of each-way punters, three further places. Only due to a particularly poor run with injuries in the 2012/13 campaign has he failed to hit the frame.

superfly v ag black But while a place at worst is heavily odds-on, the temptation to get stuck in each-way is just about removed by the price, which means we’d be facing a 30% loss if he were to finish between second and fourth – before even considering the possibility of dead-heats.

tiempo legend black Still, Aguero is better value than most of those around him in the market.

ACE 16+ PureControl blue Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been trimmed to 9/1 generally on the back of his headed winner in the Community Shield, but he’ll be 35 in October and it’s fanciful to believe that the numbers he was running at in France are going to be kept up here in what’s being described as the most competitive Premier League since its formation.

cr7 superfly blue Manchester United fans are entitled to be excited about having a bona fide sporting icon leading the line, but it looks like he’ll be supported by a player in Wayne Rooney who turns 31 at around the time Zlatan hits 35 and there’s absolutely no guarantee they hit it off for a manager whose primary focus tends to be to avoid defeat.

It’s telling that when Jose Mourinho took over at Chelsea, Frank Lampard was his top scorer for two seasons running with 13 and 16 goals, before Didier Drogba won the Golden Boot with one of the lowest winning totals – 20 – in a season which saw Benny McCarthy emerge has his chief rival.